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PROBCAST: A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts
2009
Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS)
This paper describes PROBCAST, a web-based portal to probabilistic weather predictions over the Pacific Northwest. PROBCAST products are derived from the output of a mesoscale ensemble system run at the University of Washington, with the fields being post-processed using Bayesian Model Averaging to produce sharp and reliable probabilistic predictions of temperature and precipitation. Based on research by University of Washington psychologists and humaninterface specialists, a web site has been
doi:10.1175/2009bams2775.1
fatcat:rlgwgnpnxjaeppbsbq6xcvz4q4