A copy of this work was available on the public web and has been preserved in the Wayback Machine. The capture dates from 2017; you can also visit the original URL.
The file type is application/pdf
.
An analog ensemble for short-term probabilistic solar power forecast
2015
Applied Energy
h i g h l i g h t s A novel method for solar power probabilistic forecasting is proposed. The forecast accuracy does not depend on the nominal power. The impact of climatology on forecast accuracy is evaluated. consistency, reliability, resolution and skill. The AnEn performs as well as QR for common events, by providing predictions with similar reliability, resolution and sharpness, while it exhibits more skill for rare events and during hours with a low solar elevation.
doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.08.011
fatcat:mw42duz2lfavlcwyckpgl74dsu