Nonlinear interest rate effects of global oil price changes: the comparison of net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries

M. Ali Sotoudeh, Andrew C. Worthington
2014 Applied Economics Letters  
In this paper, we test nonlinear causality between global oil price changes and short-term real interest rate in large net oil consuming and producing countries. Applying nonlinear non-parametric Hiemstra-Jones and parametric Mackey-Glass models, we find no evidence to suggest that potential direct effects of global oil price changes on short-term real interest rate are nonlinear in net oil consuming countries. In contrast, such effects are reported to be nonlinear and asymmetric in net oil producing countries.
doi:10.1080/13504851.2014.969821 fatcat:m5nseaenzfeczih3xklfz4zmqe