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Nonlinear interest rate effects of global oil price changes: the comparison of net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries
2014
Applied Economics Letters
In this paper, we test nonlinear causality between global oil price changes and short-term real interest rate in large net oil consuming and producing countries. Applying nonlinear non-parametric Hiemstra-Jones and parametric Mackey-Glass models, we find no evidence to suggest that potential direct effects of global oil price changes on short-term real interest rate are nonlinear in net oil consuming countries. In contrast, such effects are reported to be nonlinear and asymmetric in net oil producing countries.
doi:10.1080/13504851.2014.969821
fatcat:m5nseaenzfeczih3xklfz4zmqe