DEVELOPMENT OF TIGHT OIL RESOURCES IN USA: PROFITABILITY OF EXPLOITATION AND EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS IN VOLATILE OIL PRICE ENVIRONMENT

Kristina Strpić, Monika Miličević, Tomislav Kurevija
2017 Rudarsko-geološko-naftni Zbornik  
Large scale development of tight oil resources in the USA started after 2010 with a following fi ve-year period of favourable steady increase in crude oil price. During this relatively short expansion cycle, operating and capital expenses changed drastically for main tight oil plays due to technological improvements in both well drilling and completion, the expansion of the service sector as well as the loose government monetary policy which allowed favourable fi nancing. This paper analysed
more » ... nds in costs during the expansion period, as well as the correlation of oil price to a number of operating rigs and production quotas. After 2008/2009, the world fi nancial crisis economy recovery in the USA was somewhat sluggish and it caused an extremely volatile environment in both equity and commodity markets. In such a volatile environment intraday crude oil prices, as well as other commodities and equities, show a signifi cant reaction to monthly published macroeconomic indicator reports, which give better overviews of trends in economic recovery. Prior to the announcement, these reports have always forecasted value determined by a consensus among market analysts. Therefore, any positive or negative surprise in real value tends to infl uence the price of oil. This paper investigated the infl uence of such macroeconomic reports to closing intraday oil price, as well as the eff ect of other important daily market indices. Analysis showed that only the Producer Price Index (PPI), among other indicators, has a statistical signifi cance of aff ecting intraday closing oil price.
doi:10.17794/rgn.2017.3.3 fatcat:xigu2t5kgrfzzigz5i3vcho4oa