Repeated exposure to visual sequences changes the form of evoked activity in the primary visual cortex (V1). Predictive coding theory provides a potential explanation for this, namely that plasticity shapes cortical circuits to encode spatiotemporal predictions and that subsequent responses are modulated by the degree to which actual inputs match these expectations. Here we use a recently developed statistical modeling technique called Model-Based Targeted Dimensionality Reduction (MbTDR) to

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... dy visually-evoked dynamics in mouse V1 in context of a previously described experimental paradigm called "sequence learning". We report that evoked spiking activity changed significantly with training, in a manner generally consistent with the predictive coding framework. Neural responses to expected stimuli were suppressed in a late window (100-150ms) after stimulus onset following training, while responses to novel stimuli were not. Omitting predictable stimuli led to increased firing at the expected time of stimulus onset, but only in trained mice. Substituting a novel stimulus for a familiar one led to changes in firing that persisted for at least 300ms. In addition, we show that spiking data can be used to accurately decode time within the sequence. Our findings are consistent with the idea that plasticity in early visual circuits is involved in coding spatiotemporal information.