When Democracy has a Fever: States of Emergency As a Symptom and Accelerator of Autocratization

Anna Lührmann, Bryan Rooney
2019 Social Science Research Network  
Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) is a new approach to conceptualization and measurement of democracy. The headquarters-the V-Dem Institute-is based at the University of Gothenburg with 17 staff. The project includes a worldwide team with six Principal Investigators, 14 Project Managers, 30 Regional Managers, 170 Country Coordinators, Research Assistants, and 3,000 Country Experts. The V-Dem project is one of the largest ever social science research-oriented data collection programs. Please
more » ... comments and/or queries for information to: States of emergency grant chief executives the power to circumvent democratic constraints in order to combat existential threats. As such they are ideal tools to erode democratic institutions while maintaining the illusion of constitutional legitimacy. Therefore, it seems plausible that states of emergency are associated with a heightened risk of autocratization a decline in a regime's democratic attributes. Despite this link and the contemporary relevance of both autocratization and states of emergency, no prior study has empirically tested this relationship. This paper fills this gap using data on 60 democracies for 1974 to 2016. We find that democracies are 59% more likely to erode under a state of emergency. Like a fever, states of emergency are a potential symptom of a seriously ill democracy and they may accelerate democratic decay.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.3345155 fatcat:ojxw7lacejgezn4c5ajfz2is5u