ASYMMETRIC IMPACTS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS ONUNEMPLOYMENT: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA

ANTHONY ENISAN AKINLO, Department of Economics, Obafemi Awolowo University
2020 The Review of Finance and Banking  
Nigerian economy depends mainly on oil. The country produces and exports crude oil and at the same time, imports re...ned oil as input into domestic production. Consequently, changes in oil price will have a major e¤ect on phenomenon such as unemployment rate. This paper assesses the impacts of changes in oil price on the unemployment rate. Applying the standard linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, the result shows that shock to oil price has no signi...cant long-run e¤ect on
more » ... he rate of unemployment. However, when the non-linear ARDL (NARDL) is applied, the results provide evidence of log-run but asymmetric e¤ects of oil price shocks on the rate of unemployment. This ...nding suggests that the best way of modelling the unemployment-oil price nexus is NARDL that allows for short-run symmetry with long-run asymmetry.
doi:10.24818/rfb.20.12.01.05 fatcat:gtoanqxwxfak7pkxdabodiziee