Death by Statistics

Sophien Kamoun
2022 Zenodo  
"Statistics cannot substitute for clear thinking. It can't do the job of human inductive inference." I'll admit it up front, statistics has never been my forte. I belong to a generation that was poorly educated on the topic. The courses I took focused on frequentist probability. The lectures were aimed at giving us tools for generating publication worthy p-values rather than interpreting data to understand natural phenomena. This cookbook approach came across as unsatisfactory and
more » ... ive to the budding scientist I was, especially once I started generating my own experimental data and came to realize how messy biological experimentation and data can be. These days, I rely primarily on expert colleagues for their guidance. But I can deal with data much better than I used to. I also understand better what my job is about. My goal as a scientist is to produce knowledge that yields predictable outcomes, and my obsession isn't with p-values but with reproducibility. Nothing beats controls and replication, especially when orthogonal replication with a different method independently validates a finding. I'm not going to build my reserach program based on a single experiment with borderline p-values. I keep steering my lab away from shaky findings, and over and over again, I have resisted the temptation of becoming enamoured with weak models no matter how exciting they were — or how significant the p-value is. I can now confidently report that this approach has served our research team quite well.
doi:10.5281/zenodo.7048972 fatcat:led2hrx6i5fwpo6ogtdc365yzu