ROBUST PERMANENT INCOME AND PRICING WITH FILTERING

Lars Peter Hansen, Thomas J. Sargent, Neng E. Wang
2002 Macroeconomic Dynamics  
A planner and agent in a permanent-income economy cannot observe part of the state, regard their model as an approximation, and value decision rules that are robust across a set of models. They use robust decision theory to choose allocations. Equilibrium prices reflect the preference for robustness and so embody a "market price of Knightian uncertainty." We compute market prices of risk and compare them with a model that assumes that the state is fully observed. We use detection error
more » ... ties to constrain a single parameter that governs the taste for robustness.
doi:10.1017/s1365100502027049 fatcat:ojpge7wbvrexdhysm7jfw5xs7m