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018 Forecasting diabetes prevalence using a simple model: England and Wales 1993-2006
Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
Conclusion In contrast with existing research, we find that the majority of rises and falls in deaths during the Great Depression was unrelated to economic shocks. Spurious correlations can occur when immediate effects are not decoupled from long-term trends, especially problematic with trending variables, such as GDP. Consistent with existing work, we observed that bank suspensions led to rapid rises in suicides and falls in road traffic fatalities. Further research should investigatedoi:10.1136/jech.2010.120956.18 fatcat:4xibx4mm2ncu3pe7mfv4ihcxou