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Earthquake forecasting during the complex Amatrice-Norcia seismic sequence
2017
Science Advances
Earthquake forecasting is the ultimate challenge for seismologists, because it condenses the scientific knowledge about the earthquake occurrence process, and it is an essential component of any sound risk mitigation planning. It is commonly assumed that, in the short term, trustworthy earthquake forecasts are possible only for typical aftershock sequences, where the largest shock is followed by many smaller earthquakes that decay with time according to the Omori power law. We show that the
doi:10.1126/sciadv.1701239
pmid:28924610
pmcid:PMC5597309
fatcat:ia55b6ixxzfcviuedm4244k7ga