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Chasing the ghost of infection past: identifying thresholds of change during the COVID-19 infection in Spain
2020
Epidemiology and Infection
One of the largest nationwide bursts of the first COVID-19 outbreak occurred in Spain, where infection expanded in densely populated areas through March 2020. We analyse the cumulative growth curves of reported cases and deaths in all Spain and two highly populated regions, Madrid and Catalonia, identifying changes and sudden shifts in their exponential growth rate through segmented Poisson regressions. We associate these breakpoints with a timeline of key events and containment measures, and
doi:10.1017/s0950268820002782
pmid:33183397
pmcid:PMC7729171
fatcat:dfivmhpbbvfmzhedklxjrxncaq