IN-SEASON HEAD-COACH DISMISSALS AND THE PERFORMANCE OF PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL TEAMS

Jan C. van Ours, Martin A. van Tuijl
2015 Economic Inquiry  
This paper studies the causes and consequences of in-season changes of the headcoach of association football teams. We exploit data from the highest level of Dutch professional football during 14 successive seasons. An in-season change of the head-coach depends on recent match results and the difference between actual results and expectations as measured using bookmaker data. We find that, after the head-coach has been replaced, teams perform better than before. However, the performance is also
more » ... better than before for a control group of coach replacements that did not occur. From this we conclude that replacement of head-coaches does not improve team performance.
doi:10.1111/ecin.12280 fatcat:h5ssx5axazfa7dred3u4hsw2pm