Applying associative forecasting methods for economic analysis of poultry production activity
シミュレーションと機械学習の融合活用による養鶏業生産活動の経済性分析

岳 理恵, 高桑 宗右ヱ門
2021
In this study, associative forecasting methods, machine learning and simulation technology, are presented for economic analysis of poultry productions activity. First, machine learning models are applied to forecast egg trade prices between poultry farms and egg dealers based on historical data of both trade prices, poultry number and amounts of foreign egg imported. Then, data driven simulation models are presented for forecasts of the output of poultry production activity, including
more » ... outputs, costs and profits. The purpose of this study is focused on economic analysis, especially forecasts of profits and costs based on production cycles of layer hens.
doi:10.20627/jsimconf.81.0_35 fatcat:w5z5mnyeobb2hfdto3f3n7oj2e