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May Monetary Transmission Lags Have a Role in Missing Inflation Targets in Turkey? Cointegration Tests with Structural Breaks and Structural VAR Analysis
2016
International Journal of Economics and Finance
This paper aims at estimating the monetary transmission lag in Turkey by utilizing quarterly data from 2006:1 to 2015:4. To this end, the paper, first, follows unit root tests and cointegration tests. Then, the paper employs structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. SVAR analysis explores that a positive one-unit standard deviation shock to real interest rate causes inflation to decrease in the eighth period and the decrease in inflation prolongs up to the tenth period. Therefore, SVAR
doi:10.5539/ijef.v8n4p93
fatcat:avo5id4ryzdrzopq4edyrhwmxy