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The date predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain using SutteARIMA [article]

Ansari Saleh Ahmar, Eva Boj del Val
2020 medRxiv   pre-print

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The aim of this study is predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer from 01 March 2020 - 17 April 2020. The data from 01 March 2020 - 10 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 11 April - 17 April 2020. For the evaluation of the forecasting accuracy measures, we use mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Based on the results of SutteARIMA fitting data, the accuracy of SutteARIMA for the period 11 April 2020 - 17 April 2020 is 0.61%
more » ... and we forecast 20.000 confirmed cases of Spain by the WHO situation report day 90/91 which is 19 April 2020 / 20 April 2020.
doi:10.1101/2020.05.04.20090951 fatcat:ebneiyvoqbg2zlyffn2st6jkia
Citation

Ansari Saleh Ahmar, Eva Boj del Val. "The date predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain using SutteARIMA." medRxiv (2020)