Modeling assets and liabilities of a finnish pension insurance company: a VEqC approach

Matti Koivu*, Teemu Pennanen, Antero Ranne
2005 Scandinavian Actuarial Journal  
Koivu M., Pennanen T., Ranne A. Modeling assets and liabilities of a Finnish pension company: a VEqC approach. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal. This paper develops a stochastic model for assets and liabilities of a Finnish pension insurance company. The assets and liabilities are expressed in terms of seven economic factors from Finland and the EU-area. The development of these factors is modeled with a Vector Equilibrium Correction model, that incorporates statistical information with expert
more » ... ws in the form of user specified growth rates and long term equilibria. The forecast performance of the resulting model is tested and the model is used in long-term solvency and asset liability simulations.
doi:10.1080/03461230510009709 fatcat:de4ee2gyl5aqzk7wkziybhco4e