A copy of this work was available on the public web and has been preserved in the Wayback Machine. The capture dates from 2017; you can also visit the original URL.
The file type is application/pdf
.
Bifurcation analysis of a paradigmatic model of monsoon prediction
2005
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Local and global bifurcation structure of the forced Lorenz model in the r−F plane is investigated. The forced Lorenz model is a conceptual model for understanding the influence of the slowly varying boundary forcing like Sea Surface Temperature (SST) on the Indian summer monsoon rainfall variability. Shift in the probability density function between the two branches of the Lorenz attractor as a function of SST forcing is calculated. It is found that the onedimensional return map (cusp map) splits into two cusps on introduction of forcing.
doi:10.5194/npg-12-707-2005
fatcat:wyppiakfera4zkygj5uiotqwim