Modelo Decisório no Mercado Financeiro: Um Estudo à Luz da Teoria dos Prospectos e da Racionalidade Limitada

Alex Diego Souza Queiroz, Marilia Oliveira dos Reis, Joseilton Silveira da Rocha
2016 Contabilidade, Gestão e Governança  
The objective of this study was to determine whether the decision-making models present in Prospect Theory and the theory of limited rationality could help managers of financial institutions identify and control the emotions and rational limitations involved in the credit granting process in the financial market. To this end, a study was carried out with 17 bank managers as experimental group and 31 other managers from different areas as control group. Adopting a quantitative approach to
more » ... approach to research, questionnaires were sent electronically to a number of bank branches. Five scenarios were presented, seeking to identify the Modelo Decisório no Mercado Financeiro: Um Estudo à Luz da Teoria dos Prospectos e da Racionalidade Limitada __________________________________________________________________________ Contabilidade, Gestão e Governança -Brasília · v. 19 · n. 2 · p. 211-229 · mai./ago. 2016 influence of behavioral factors on decisions in situations of risk. In addition, emotional triggers were included in some questions in order to verify the influence of this component on responses. Results were treated with SPSS software, using descriptive analysis of data and the statistical test Chi-square (χ²). Results observed for the five scenarios indicated that emotions and limited rationality in complex environments tend to influence managers in their decisionmaking process. The study evidence suggests differences in decision-making in accordance with how the problem is presented.
doi:10.21714/1984-3925_2016v19n2a3 fatcat:vscdnkgdzzdzhoywboyxyi3bue