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Could the outcome of the 2016 US elections have been predicted from past voting patterns?
2018
Proceedings of the ICA
In South Africa, a team of analysts has for some years been using statistical techniques to predict election outcomes during election nights in South Africa. The prediction method involves using statistical clusters based on past voting patterns to predict final election outcomes, using a small number of released vote counts. With the US presidential elections in November 2016 hitting the global media headlines during the time period directly after successful predictions were done for the South
doi:10.5194/ica-proc-1-100-2018
fatcat:whwocfo345eoxaybj5cg7xpp7a