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We compare non-experimental impact estimates based on matching methods with those from a randomized evaluation to determine whether the non-experimental approach can "match" the so-called gold standard. The social experiment we use was carried out to evaluate a geographically targeted conditional cash transfer antipoverty program in Nicaragua. The outcomes we assess include several components of household expenditure and a variety of children's health outcomes including breast feeding,doi:10.1086/650421 fatcat:zsvcrqvnlrfufnu72bsll5yfmi