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Joint probability and design storms at the crossroads
Australasian Journal of Water Resources
The joint probability problem inherent in flood estimation is complex. Although the design storm approach has a long tradition it lacks the fundamental rigour of joint probability analysis. The use of average values for random inputs other than rainfall intensity and duration can be justified from a joint probability perspective provided variations in the input affect the peak flow density in a linear fashion. However, the assignment of the average value for initial conditions is problematic. Adoi:10.1080/13241583.2006.11465282 fatcat:ocxbstu4wnetvhief2dgvwnxfu