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Very rare heat extremes: quantifying and understanding using ensemble re-initialization
2021
Journal of Climate
AbstractHeat waves such as the one in Europe 2003 have severe consequences for the economy, society, and ecosystems. It is unclear whether temperatures could have exceeded these anomalies even without further climate change. Developing storylines and quantifying highest possible temperature levels is challenging given the lack of long homogeneous time series and methodological framework to assess them. Here, we address this challenge by analysing summer temperatures in a nearly 5000-year
doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0916.1
fatcat:or4yx5qoxngizdqvjawnzagg4a