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Objective: To determine the additional prognostic value of clinical history, physical examination and x-ray findings to a previously derived simple generic model (age, body mass index, anxiety and pain severity) in a cohort of older adults with knee pain. Methods: Prospective cohort study in community-dwelling adults in North Staffordshire. 621 participants (aged >50 years) reporting knee pain who attended a research clinic at recruitment and were followed up by postal questionnaire at 18doi:10.1136/ard.2007.080945 pmid:18245111 fatcat:zbclnhclfja3lkxuvoo2evcujq