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Forecasting Conditional Covariance Matrices in High-Dimensional Time Series: a General Dynamic Factor Approach
2021
figshare.com
Based on a General Dynamic Factor Model with infinite-dimensional factor space and MGARCH volatility models, we develop new estimation and forecasting procedures for conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional time series. The finite-sample performance of our approach is evaluated via Monte Carlo experiments and outperforms most alternative methods. This new approach is also used to construct minimum one-step-ahead variance portfolios for a high-dimensional panel of assets. The results
doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.16862648.v1
fatcat:co46rzxmlfh7hoezkiqerxcuuy