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The Development of Subjective Bayesianism
[chapter]
2011
Handbook of the History of Logic
The Bayesian approach to inductive reasoning originated in two brilliant insights. In 1654 Blaise Pascal, while in the course of a correspondence with Fermat [1769], recognized that states of uncertainty can be quantified using probabilities and expectations. In the early 1760s Thomas Bayes [1763] first understood that learning can be represented probabilistically using what is now called Bayes's Theorem. These ideas serve as the basis for all Bayesian thought.
doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-52936-7.50012-4
fatcat:asge4i3znzhepiv6kuipcqdtdi