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Sunspot numbers: Implications on Eastern African rainfall
2014
South African Journal of Science
Following NASA's prediction of sunspot numbers for the current sunspot cycle, Cycle 24, we now include sunspot numbers as an explanatory variable in a statistical model. This model is based on fitting monthly rainfall values with factors and covariates obtained from solar-lunar geometry values and sunspot numbers. The model demonstrates high predictive skill in estimating monthly values by achieving a correlation coefficient of 0.9 between model estimates and the measurements. Estimates for
doi:10.1590/sajs.2014/20130050
fatcat:iiu3lyjmr5g2bpuhph5mjzjoxu