Climate elasticity of streamflow revisited – an elasticity index based on long-term hydrometeorological records

Vazken Andréassian, Laurent Coron, Julien Lerat, Nicolas Le Moine
2016 Hydrology and Earth System Sciences  
<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> We present a new method to derive the empirical (i.e., data-based) elasticity of streamflow to precipitation and potential evaporation. This method, which uses long-term hydrometeorological records, is tested on a set of 519 French catchments. <br><br> We compare a total of five different ways to compute elasticity: the reference method first proposed by Sankarasubramanian et al. (2001) and four alternatives differing in the type of regression model chosen (OLS or
more » ... LS, univariate or bivariate). We show that the bivariate GLS and OLS regressions provide the most robust solution, because they account for the co-variation of precipitation and potential evaporation anomalies. We also compare empirical elasticity estimates with theoretical estimates derived analytically from the Turc–Mezentsev formula. <br><br> Empirical elasticity offers a powerful means to test the extrapolation capacity of those hydrological models that are to be used to predict the impact of climatic changes.</p>
doi:10.5194/hess-20-4503-2016 fatcat:bqvjuvujlje4pouwj3s3ke76fi