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Do Commodities React More to Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risk? A Comparison of Commodity and Financial Assets
2022
Mathematics
Using a rare disaster risk database from almost the last one hundred years, we examine the differences in the reaction of asset prices to rare disaster risk between commodity and financial assets. We first employ time-varying parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) models to investigate the role of rare disaster risk in the price dynamics of major asset markets. The results indicate that disaster risk generally has a more intense and persistent impact on crude oil and stock markets when compared to gold and
doi:10.3390/math10030445
fatcat:eav7x47anvabfoqz6wfs4heqha