Forecasting Daily Water Consumption: a Case Study in Torun, Poland

Adam Piasecki, Jakub Jurasz, Bartosz Kaźmierczak
2018 Periodica polytechnica. Civil engineering  
This paper presents Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) methods for predicting future daily water consumption values based on three antecedent records of water consumption and humidity forecast for a given day, which are considered as independent variables. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is obtained for different configurations of the input sets and of the ANN model structure. Additionally, sets of explanatory variables are enhanced with dummy variables
more » ... dicating typical days: working day, Saturday, Sunday/public holidays. The results indicated the superiority of the ANN approach over MLR, although the observed difference in performance was very limited.
doi:10.3311/ppci.11930 fatcat:lrbqjnsov5e3jlvx43ijwque2i