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Race And Turnout In U.S. Elections Exposing Hidden Effects
Public Opinion Quarterly
We demonstrate that the use of self-reported turnout data often results in misleading inferences about racial differences in turnout. We theorize about the mechanism driving report of turnout and, utilizing ANES turnout data in presidential elections from 1976 to 1988 (all years for which comparable validated data are available), we empirically model report of turnout as well as the relationship between reported and actual turnout. We apply the model to the two subsequent presidential electionsdoi:10.1093/poq/nfq017 fatcat:p2y3olndyfgwlpegblbut7xfr4