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Modeling and forecasting the early evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic in Brazil
2020
Scientific Reports
We model and forecast the early evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil using Brazilian recent data from February 25, 2020 to March 30, 2020. This early period accounts for unawareness of the epidemiological characteristics of the disease in a new territory, sub-notification of the real numbers of infected people and the timely introduction of social distancing policies to flatten the spread of the disease. We use two variations of the SIR model and we include a parameter that comprises
doi:10.1038/s41598-020-76257-1
pmid:33173127
pmcid:PMC7655855
fatcat:wkmxbded6zhh5n357h3gg2wmou