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9 We demonstrated a possible future wherein coral reefs shift to an algae-dominated state that 10 retains low coral cover and a functional biomass of herbivorous fishes that sustains a reef fish 11 fishery. We evaluate the effect of no-take MPAs and increased coastal nutrients under two IPCC 12 climate scenarios for years 2000-2100, which are implemented as coral bleaching events. Coral 13 mortality from bleaching events drove a lagged increase in herbivorous fish populations, via a 14 shiftdoi:10.1139/cjfas-2016-0200 fatcat:jgfcvmhol5bpfp2nmifo2nmdcu