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A Theory of Subjective Learning
2012
Social Science Research Network
We study an individual who faces a dynamic decision problem in which the process of information arrival is unobserved by the analyst. We derive two utility representations of preferences over menus of acts that capture the individual's uncertainty about his future beliefs. The most general representation identi...es a unique probability distribution over the set of posteriors that the decision maker might face at the time of choosing from the menu. We use this representation to characterize a
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2149781
fatcat:tld7phof4nbp7ijnijort4uaja