A copy of this work was available on the public web and has been preserved in the Wayback Machine. The capture dates from 2017; you can also visit the original URL.
The file type is
Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternative forecasting methods
Accurate predictions of future shifts in species diversity in response to global change are critical if useful conservation strategies are to be developed. The most widely used prediction method is to model individual species niches from point observations and project these models forward using future climate scenarios. The resulting changes in individual ranges are then summed to predict diversity changes; multiple models can be combined to produce ensemble forecasts. Predictions based ondoi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.05832.x fatcat:775foh5oxzfmfpqz46hnpkhfiq