The potential for climate change to produce increased incidences of violent conflict has received considerable attention in recent years. Interdisciplinary research has explored the intersection of climate change and conflict using a mixture of case studies and quantitative models in a variety of geographic contexts. However, evidence of the direct causal connection between climate change and social conflict is at times mixed and faces criticism for its limited predictive capacity. This paper

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... tegrates the aforementioned literatures with psychological insights from intergroup relations and decision making to illuminate conditions under which climate change may be more or less likely to lead to conflict. Specific attention is given to the contributions from psychology to issues of conflict related to resource scarcity/uncertainty, forced migration, and political polarization. Suggestions for future analytic techniques, psychological insights into mitigating the emergence of conflict, and the need for future integrative natural and social science frameworks are discussed.