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kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks
2016
Extremes
Heatwaves are defined as a set of hot days and nights that cause a marked short-term increase in mortality. Obtaining accurate estimates of the probability of an event lasting many days is important. Previous studies of temporal dependence of extremes have assumed either a first-order Markov model or a particularly strong form of extremal dependence, known as asymptotic dependence. Neither of these assumptions is appropriate for the heatwaves that we observe for our data. A firstorder Markov
doi:10.1007/s10687-016-0275-z
fatcat:3qijdro2ibhnzezrhh7lhmgvja