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The German Trade Shock and the Rise of the Neo-Welfare State in Early Twentieth-Century Britain
2022
American Political Science Review
We study the international origins of the neo-welfare state in Britain during the era of globalization before World War I. We introduce a new mechanism linking trade to the expansion of the state. In addition to increasing assessments of the volatility of employment in a market economy, trade shocks changed beliefs about the deservingness of the poor. Employing a shift-share measure of local exposure to German imports, we show that rising imports caused worse labor market outcomes from 1880 to
doi:10.1017/s0003055422000673
fatcat:3ddzuqmawrfafftkmhn3rudhsi