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Learning as a Rational Foundation for Macroeconomics and Finance
2011
Social Science Research Network
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for RE equilibria and a selection criterion in models with multiple equilibria. Further features of learning, such as discounting of older data, use of misspecified models, or heterogeneous choice by agents
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1805550
fatcat:zr7gnuofhvasnjvnfrom24qtlm