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On improved predictive density estimation with parametric constraints
2011
Electronic Journal of Statistics
We consider the problem of predictive density estimation for normal models under Kullback-Leibler loss (KL loss) when the parameter space is constrained to a convex set. More particularly, we assume that X ∼ N p (µ, v x I) is observed and that we wish to estimate the density of Y ∼ N p (µ, v y I) under KL loss when µ is restricted to the convex set C ⊂ R p . We show that the best unrestricted invariant predictive density estimatorp U is dominated by the Bayes estimatorp π C associated to the
doi:10.1214/11-ejs603
fatcat:sejqi6t4b5ajtl6vg3fsmqthwm