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Fear and stock price bubbles
2020
PLoS ONE
I evaluate Alan Greenspan's claim that stock price bubbles build up in periods of euphoria and tend to burst due to increasing fear. Indeed, there is evidence that e.g. during a crisis, triggered by increasing fear, both qualitative and quantitative measures of risk aversion increase substantially. It is argued that fear is a potential mechanism underlying financial decisions and drives the countercyclical risk aversion. Inspired by this evidence, I construct an euphoria/fear index, which is
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0233024
pmid:32396567
fatcat:kcd664c3zngcbcxrexfftwliou