Phase Shifting of the Transmissibility of Macrolide Sensitive and Resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae Epidemics in Hong Kong, from 2015 to 2018

Shi Zhao, Salihu S. Musa, Jing Qin, Daihai He
2019 International Journal of Infectious Diseases  
A B S T R A C T Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a threat to public health. This pathogen caused an epidemic in Hong Kong during the years 2015-2018. The reproduction number during the initial epidemic was estimated to be 1.7 for macrolide-resistant M. pneumoniae (MRMP) and 1.4 for macrolide-sensitive M. pneumoniae (MSMP). During 2016-2018, the reproduction number remained stable at around 1.0 for both MRMP and MSMP. Phase-shifting and changes in the leading-status between the transmissibilities of MSMP and MRMP were found.
doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2019.02.030 fatcat:d7scxwny5nacxp6btxdk3zgxye