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Why Do Election Results Change After Election Day? The "Blue Shift" in California Elections
[post]
2020
unpublished
The counting of votes in contemporary American elections is usually not completed on Election Night. There has been an increasing tendency for vote shares to shift toward Democratic candidates after Election Day in general elections (Foley and Stewart III, 2015). In this paper, we study this phenomenon using granular data from Orange County, California. Leveraging snapshots of precinct-level election returns and precinct-level demographic and political composition, we conduct the first
doi:10.33774/apsa-2020-s43xx
fatcat:u3enapjeivdqrd4q5jqq7uv4uy