House prices, housing development costs, and the supply of new single-family housing in German counties and cities

2012 Proceedings of the 19th Annual European Real Estate Society Conference - Edinburgh, Scotland   unpublished
This paper employs panel data on 413 German counties and cities from 2004 to 2009 to investigate the supply of new single-family housing in local housing markets. New local housing supply is measured by the annual number of construction permits in relation to the existing single-family housing stock. This supply indicator is econometrically related to existing home prices and new housing development costs, which include the costs of housing construction and vacant land in a given location. The
more » ... esults suggest that both higher prices for existing homes and recent increases in development costs are positively associated with local single-family home permit rates. Instead, higher levels of development costs turn out to dampen construction activity. The average local price elasticity of new single-family home supply is considerably less than one, with surprising differences across the urban hierarchy.
doi:10.15396/eres2012_261 fatcat:qplqn2curbarzmf6tlemzng5w4