A MATHEMATICAL THEORY OF CONFLICT DYNAMICS [report]

Warren R. Phillips
1970 unpublished
The theory proposed here is designed to produce systematic information about contemporary patterns of conflict behavior and to judge the practicality of identifying the form of these patterns over time. It is based upon the belief that behavior begets behavior--that the behavior of one nation tmvards another is a function of its previous experience with that nation. In other words, a nation.' s future behavior will be a function of both its own momentum in dealing with this opponent, as well as
more » ... pponent, as well as its expectations of the strategy an opponent is most likely to adopt when responding to an influence attempt. It is hoped that by adopting a theory of dynamic processes and placing some restriction upon the use of common sense and intuition, considerable insight into international conflict processes will be gained.
doi:10.21236/ad0710777 fatcat:ro4pyuzgqjfjpnxzzecpafhaai