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Currency Portfolio Risk Measurement with Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic-Extreme Value Theory-Copula Model
2018
Journal of Mathematical Finance
This paper implements the statistical modelling of the dependence structure of currency exchange rates using the concept of copulas. The GARCH-EVT-Copula model is applied to estimate the portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) of currency exchange rates. First the univariate ARMA-GARCH model is used to filter the return series. The generalized Pareto distribution is then fitted to model the tail distribution of standardized residuals. The dependence structure between transformed residuals is modeled
doi:10.4236/jmf.2018.82029
fatcat:dldelwdkjjgu5gse2rjjvz5yj4