International Journal OF Engineering Sciences &Management Research FROM ASSESSMENT EX POST TO EX ANTE ESTIMATES: RISKS ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN ALGERIA

W Hanafi, & Bedrani
2018 unpublished
Today, investors want a larger visibility on the validity of time limits and on potential financial losses. The study concerns the risk analysis of agricultural projects. On a sample of project achieving enterprises working in wilayas belonging to three zones: mountain, steppe and desert, a qualitative analysis made to assess the severity of the causes of risks and a quantitative analysis made on several simulations during the achievement of the project by random edition (type Monte Carlo
more » ... tion leading to cumulated probability distributions, it will result a classification of potential risks and an assessment of contingency reserves for risks (time limits, cost) for parts of works of the project. These results highlight the importance of the risk analysis in the full success of the project management
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