Due to the complex dynamic interactions of the vehicle-track system in the turnout of high-speed railway stations on a ballasted track, the geometric position of the line changes rapidly. In order to improve the stability of the line, the ballasted track in the turnout area of the stations can be replaced by a ballastless track. Based on the engineering background of laying ballastless track in the turnout area of Zhonglan's high-speed railway station, this paper studies the subgrade

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... nt scheme, subgrade settlement prediction, and ballasted-ballastless track transition section setting. The result shows that, in order to meet the requirements of laying ballastless track in the turnout area, a reinforcement scheme of subgrade impact rolling, surcharge preloading, and closed water isolation on the subgrade surface is proposed. Based on the commonness and individuality of the grey Verhulst, hyperbola, and Deng Yinger prediction model, this paper optimizes the combination of the three models. The sum of squares of the minimum errors of the combined model is used as the objective function to solve the optimal weighting coefficient, and in this way the combined prediction model is constructed. Through the prediction comparison, we found that the accuracy of the three-model combination prediction model is better than any single- or two-model combination, and its adaptability and reliability are stronger and more reliable. This dynamic analysis model of vehicle tracks was established to carry out the dynamic response analysis under the conditions of fastener stiffness grading transition and ballast glue grading curing ballast bed transition. The results show that the dynamic response indexes under the two transition modes meet the requirements for the smooth running of trains. Due to the convenience of fastener stiffness transition construction and easier replacement, this measure is recommended.