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Autoregressive Quantile Flows for Predictive Uncertainty Estimation
[article]
2021
arXiv
pre-print
Numerous applications of machine learning involve predicting flexible probability distributions over model outputs. We propose Autoregressive Quantile Flows, a flexible class of probabilistic models over high-dimensional variables that can be used to accurately capture predictive aleatoric uncertainties. These models are instances of autoregressive flows trained using a novel objective based on proper scoring rules, which simplifies the calculation of computationally expensive determinants of
arXiv:2112.04643v1
fatcat:bkshkseiijgh7hkqwhy7p5ehhi