Does the Budget Expenditure Composition Matter for Long-Run Economic Growth in a Resource Rich Country? Evidence from Azerbaijan

Khatai Aliyev, Ceyhun Mikayilov
2016 Academic Journal of Economic Studies   unpublished
This study investigates the role of budget expenditure composition over Azerbaijan's non-oil economic growth in the long-run by classifying public spending as capital, social and other expenditures. Authors' employ ARDLBT approach to co-integration for the period of 2000Q1-2014Q4 to estimate long-run contribution of each spending category before-and-after the oil boom while controlling for oil-related factors. Empirical results endorse the validity of long-run association among variables.
more » ... s concluded insignificant negative impact of capital expenditures, and significant negative impact of other expenditures. However, social spending has statistically and economically strong positive impact over the non-oil output growth. Therefore, research findings confirm that public expenditure composition significantly matters for long-run non-oil economic growth, and social expenditures have the greater positive impact in a resource-rich economy, Azerbaijan. Research results are highly useful for the government officials to consider while planning the expenditures in order to minimize negative response of non-oil sector to the fiscal contraction.
fatcat:t6gqtf3xjje2ppivkwvekvyrce